Moscow, Russia is stepping up its intelligence efforts, as experts in defense reveal a rapid improvement following the invasion of Ukraine. Recent events, such as the brutal attack on Leonid Volkov, a close adviser to the late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, in Vilnius, Lithuania, underscore the effectiveness of Moscow’s tactics. The assailant’s use of violence and teargas in the assault on Volkov is believed to be a clear message from the Putin regime. This incident highlights the resurgence of Russian intelligence operations in Europe.
Lithuanian intelligence authorities suspect Russian special services are behind the attack on Volkov. Since the invasion of Ukraine, hundreds of Russian intelligence officers have been expelled from European embassies, leading Moscow to resort to organized crime for assistance. The Kremlin’s willingness to claim responsibility for such operations marks a significant shift in tactics compared to previous incidents like the poisoning of the Skripals in Salisbury.
The heightened intelligence activity is a response to previous failures, such as the FSB’s inability to recruit turncoats in Ukraine. The Kremlin now sees itself engaged in a more overt conflict with the West, leading to a restructuring of intelligence operations. Russian spies are adopting methods reminiscent of the Cold War era, with a focus on training agents for long-term undercover missions in Europe.
Analysts observe a greater level of professionalism in Russian intelligence operations, with the GRU restructuring its operations post-Ukraine. This includes the establishment of Unit 54654, dedicated to recruiting new agents with no prior security associations. The changes in strategy align with Russia’s historical approach to war, gradually improving their capabilities over time.
The evolving landscape of intelligence operations reflects Moscow’s perception of being embroiled in a larger conflict with Western powers. As tensions escalate, the Kremlin is adapting its tactics to meet the challenges posed by the West. This shift in strategy signifies a new phase in Russia’s intelligence operations, characterized by increased professionalism and a return to Cold War-era spying techniques.